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Can Huawei outpace US sanctions with its new 1.4nm chip strategy by 2031?

Huawei, which provided no independent performance data, unveiled the Tau Scaling Law, a chip design principle aimed at speeding data movement by folding and stacking chips.
Published: May 25, 2026 21:52 ISTUpdated: Jun 29, 2026 20:36 IST3 MIN READ
Can Huawei outpace US sanctions with its new 1.4nm chip strategy by 2031?

Huawei Technologies said on Monday in Shanghai that it will pursue a new chip-design strategy it believes can deliver industry-leading semiconductors within five years, even as US sanctions restrict China’s access to advanced chipmaking tools.

The company said its high-end chips should reach transistor density equivalent to 1.4-nanometre processes by 2031, but it did not present independent performance data.

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The race grows frightfully tight

The target matters because China’s most advanced proven chipmaking capability is widely seen at about 7 nanometres, while 1.4 nanometres is expected to sit near the global frontier by the end of the decade.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC), the world’s largest advanced-chip producer, is currently using 2-nanometre technology and plans to begin mass production of 1.4-nanometre chips in 2028.

He Hui, director of semiconductor research at Omdia, said, “What Huawei is proposing is a shift from traditional node-driven scaling to system-level efficiency scaling.”

Now comes the clever machinery

Huawei’s new principle, called the Tau Scaling Law, is aimed at reducing the time it takes signals and data to move through chips and computing systems.

The company said its Kirin smartphone chips due later this year will be the first to use a related architecture called LogicFolding, which it said will shorten wiring inside chips and improve performance.

Huawei added that LogicFolding will also be applied to Ascend chips by 2030 and to large AI clusters used in data centres.

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Sanctions, setbacks and a stubborn revival

The company said its chip division has designed and mass-produced 381 chips over the past six years based on the Tau Scaling Law for use in smartphones and AI computing.

Huawei’s Ascend chip line is central to powering Chinese AI models, while demand for those chips has risen in China as firms look for alternatives to Nvidia’s restricted products.

Analysts cited by Reuters said the approach could narrow the gap with global leaders, but significant hurdles remain, including overheating, cost and system integration.

Huawei was placed on a U.S. trade blacklist in 2019, and the company staged a comeback in 2023 with its Mate 60 series smartphones powered by a 7-nanometre chip made by SMIC; SMIC shares rose 7.6% after Huawei’s announcement.

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